Oil prices retreat as markets reassess US Iran risks ahead of ceasefire deadline

Oil prices edged lower as investors reassessed supply risks linked to ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran, with uncertainty persisting ahead of ceasefire deadline.

U.S. crude futures declined by nearly two percent in early Asian trading, reversing part of the strong gains recorded in the previous session. West Texas Intermediate crude was trading around 88 dollars per barrel after a sharp rally of almost seven percent a day earlier.

The pullback reflects shifting market sentiment as traders weigh the chances of renewed diplomatic engagement against the risk of further escalation. Expectations that talks between Washington and Tehran could proceed have eased immediate fears of prolonged supply disruptions, even as uncertainty remains high.

Recent volatility has been driven by rapid changes in geopolitical signals. Oil prices surged earlier as tensions intensified and concerns grew over disruptions to flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a key transit route for global energy supplies.

At the same time, the approaching ceasefire deadline has left markets highly sensitive to developments. Investors are closely monitoring whether negotiations will lead to an extension of the truce or a more lasting agreement, both of which could stabilise supply expectations.

Despite the recent dip, analysts caution that risks remain elevated. The possibility of renewed conflict or further disruptions to shipping routes continues to underpin market uncertainty, contributing to ongoing price swings across global energy markets.

The latest movements highlight the fragile balance between geopolitical risk and diplomatic progress, with oil markets continuing to respond rapidly to any signals that could influence supply from one of the world’s most critical producing regions.

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